plan. he would probably look to the midwest. >> what about mitt romney? that seems to be more -- a more convoluted path at the least, right? >> reporter: well, it's harder, because he starts at 191, not 237. so simple math tells you, he's got a harder path to get there. here's how he gets there. number one, he needs the state of florida, 29 electoral votes there. he needs north carolina and most likely virginia, as well. if he does that, that gets him to 248. florida, north carolina, virginia gets him to 248. then add in the 18 in ohio, no republican has won without it, that gets him to 266. at that point, governor romney could win any other state. now, he still thinks iowa is in play for him. he thinks new hampshire where he has a vacation home might be in play. the republicans at the moment think they're ahead in colorado, tied in nevada. so he has to do florida, virginia, north carolina, ohio. and one more from there. if he can't get virginia, this state is a toss-up state. then he would have to cobble it together with say colorado and maybe wisconsin. but the most obvious path, they call it 3-2-1. win the three republican states, indiana, which we think he has, north carolina, virginia, florida, ohio, and one more.